The extension of the US-Russian New START agreement on strategic nuclear weapons was achieved through the exchange of two sets of diplomatic notes between the respective governments, on 26 January and 3 February. The process was super-straightforward. Both President Putin of Russia and Joe Biden while US President-elect made clear they would each favour extension. The day after inauguration President Biden officially confirmed the position. A few days later, it was done. This was the lowest of low-hanging fruit. Good to have gotten it out of the way (and stupid that the previous administration let it go down to the wire) but now the real work starts.
Posted in arms control, nuclear weapons
Tagged artificial intelligence, Biden, China, cyber, New START, Non-Proliferation Treaty, NPT Review Conference, Putin, Russia, USA, USSR
The SIPRI Yearbook 2019 is now available on line. It registers key data in the world of peace and security in 2018 and establishes some of the basic indicators that let us track and assess the trends. It is not a comfortable picture.
You can get a quick take on it from my shorthand overview below and/or from the latest short film in our Peace Points series.
Posted in arms control, Climate change, Conflict & peace, nuclear weapons
Tagged arms control, biodiversity, biosphere loss, China, Climate change, environment, hunger, INF Treaty, Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Iran, Iran deal, mass extinction, multilateralism, New START, Russia, US, US-Russia
It has been a disturbing few days. On Tuesday 4 April, Syrian aircraft allegedly used nerve gas against civilians. On Thursday 6, the US responded by attacking Syrian forces for the first time. On Friday 7, there was a truck attack in central Stockholm, the city’s first terror incident since December 2010. On Saturday 8, a US naval task force set out for northeast Asia to strengthen US sea power near the Korean peninsula. A small bomb was discovered in Oslo. On Sunday 9, nearly 50 people died from bomb attacks at two churches in the Nile delta.
Amid the uncertainties of the time, it’s worth asking if the US is about to get engaged in armed conflict on two fronts. Continue reading
Posted in Conflict & peace, The Middle East, Trump,
Tagged al-Shayrat, Assad, chemical weapons, China, Japan, Khan Sheikhun, nerve gas, North Korea, Russia, Sean Spicer, South Korea, Syria, Tillerson, Trump,
Brexit both contains and is creating abounding unknowns and uncertainties. These will have an impact on many aspects of international relations and security policy in Europe. How will it be possible to navigate them?
Posted in Brexit, Uncategorized
Tagged British foreign policy, China, Commonwealth, Empire, EU, EU Council, India, Ivan Rogers, non-alignment, Russia, Trump,
And so to Beijing, as I might write in the diary I don’t keep, for the Seventh Xiangshan Forum, a big day-and-a-half conference on international security affairs. It is the third such event I have been to this year – first Munich, then Moscow and now Beijing. In some ways quite similar yet also very different, what can be gleaned from each? Continue reading
Posted in Conflict & peace
Tagged China, Cold War, MISC, Moscow International Security Conference, Munich Security Conference, Russia, South China Sea, terrorism, Ukraine, US, US-Russia, Xiangshan Forum
The state of the world is not just one thing. Continue reading
Today is publication day for the new edition of The State of the World Atlas. It presents information about the world – economics, politics, conflict, health, environment and demography – in a variety of forms, primarily in maps and other visuals, also in text. If you will excuse me, I want to introduce it to you. Continue reading
Posted in The State of the World
Tagged carbon emissions, China, Climate change, EU, global ineqaulity, health, India, International development, peace agreements, peacebuilding, UN, US
In 2001 – a different time and a different world – the EU Gothenburg summit agreed to make the prevention of violent conflict a priority for the EU. Measured by money, it’s now the world’s biggest player in peacebuilding. But look around Europe now and we can ask, should peacebuilding also start to be a priority inside the EU? Continue reading
Posted in Conflict & peace, International development, Riots, The economic crunch
Tagged Breivik, China, EU, European politics, finance sector, human security, International development, international politics, Jean Charles de Menezes, peacebuilding
Just before the summer shutdown, the last key decisions were taken to establish the EU’s new External Action Service – the European Parliament on 8 July and the Council of the EU on the 20th. As the EAS starts to become real, what can and should we expect from it? Continue reading
Posted in Conflict & peace, Power
Tagged adaptation, Ashton, carbon emissions, China, Climate change, Copenhagen, energy security, EU, EU External Action service, European politics, food security, fragile states, green economy, International development, Israel, Middle East, Palestine, peacebuilding, trade
Water is a basic condition of life. We depend upon it for daily use, for agriculture, for industry and infrastructure. A shortage, an excess and deficient quality can all undermine welfare, impair human security, hold back economic development and in some circumstances generate conflict. The London-based Foreign Policy Centre has published Tackling the World Water Crisis, an edited collection of articles in which mine looks at the peace and security issues around water. Continue reading
Posted in Climate change, Conflict & peace, International development
Tagged adaptation, China, Climate change, food security, fragile states, human security, India, peacebuilding, poverty, Yemen