The food fulcrum

A billion are underfed and a billion are overweight. People, that is. Publication of an excellent report on food security by Alex Evans, The Feeding of the Nine Billion, offers an occasion for reflecting on how food sits at the fulcrum of many of the outstanding concerns of today – climate change and conflict, poverty and wealth, deprivation and privilege, power and exclusion. Continue reading

How a conflict could lead to a perfect storm

The world is in parlous condition. A violent conflict could quickly escalate out of control into a perfect storm, in which a local conflict becomes a major regional explosion. The risk is of low probability but high impact. The likelihood can be made even lower if the international system and its major actors remain watchful and ready to respond quickly. For that readiness to be real, we need to think the risk through. Continue reading

Water shortages feed risk of conflict

A new report from the Pacific Institute in California is featured in a Times (London) story this morning, which links humanity’s expanding “water footprint” to increasing risks of armed conflict. The conflict and peace implications of climate change are explored in an International Alert report, A Climate of Conflict, from late 2007.

Gaza

Others are writing with wisdom, evidence and pain on the current events in Gaza and right now I have nothing to add. But I do recommend two web-sites for a human rights perspective from within Israel: one is a coalition of human rights groups, specifically on Gaza, and the other is B’Tselem‘s (both their “Gaza strip” summary and “Statistics” drop-down are especially useful).

Sustaining peace amid economic crisis

The hidden good news of the last two decades since the end of the Cold War is that, despite throwing up horrors to rank alongside history’s worst, this has been an era of growing peace. This progress is now threatened with reversal but it did not happen by chance and it is possible to prevent the worst from happening.

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