It’s that time of year, right? In fact, that time of the decade – the cusp between one and the next. From the teens to the twenties. So it’s time for my review of the last (what went wrong) and a forward perspective over what’s coming (trends to watch). Except, no.
Recently I asked a group of eminent and wise people for reasons for optimism. There is these days a bias towards pessimism that is simultaneously understandable, debilitating and tedious. I wanted to push back and get eminent wise help in doing so.
Posted in Climate change, Conflict & peace, Cooperation
Tagged artificial intelligence, cyber, democracy, diplomacy, environment, extinction rebellion, New Year 2020, populism, women in politics
The UN’s Climate Action Summit is an effort to raise the global level of ambition to address the deepening climate crisis by encouraging governments to go further in reducing carbon emissions and in providing finance to meet the challenges. It is altogether welcome. But it is striking that the preparation for the summit and the key messages going into and coming out of it have maintained a steadfast silence about the issue of security. Continue reading
The SIPRI Yearbook 2019 is now available on line. It registers key data in the world of peace and security in 2018 and establishes some of the basic indicators that let us track and assess the trends. It is not a comfortable picture.
You can get a quick take on it from my shorthand overview below and/or from the latest short film in our Peace Points series.
Posted in arms control, Climate change, Conflict & peace, nuclear weapons
Tagged arms control, biodiversity, biosphere loss, China, Climate change, environment, hunger, INF Treaty, Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Iran, Iran deal, mass extinction, multilateralism, New START, Russia, US, US-Russia
2018 was another year of uncertainty and a spreading feeling of insecurity. What could turn that round in 2019? Here are some thoughts:
Posted in Climate change, Conflict & peace, Northeast Asia, The Middle East
Tagged adaptation, Climate change, DPRK, Hodeidah, Libya, mitigation, North Korea, Syria, US, Yemen
Around the world, a series of new “hottest ever” local records have been set. Africa has experienced what is probably its hottest ever daily temperature. The world’s highest “daily minimum” temperature (i.e., the lowest temperature in that 24-hour period) has been recorded – over 42°C in Oman, for those of you trying to handle a modest mid-30s of an afternoon by the Med. Northern Arctic sea ice is breaking up for the first time on record. What are the trends and what are the implications for peace and security? Continue reading
Last week’s communiqué from the G7 Foreign Ministers’ Meeting in Lübeck included a statement on climate change and security. In welcoming a report, A New Climate for Peace, to which my organisation International Alert contributed, the communiqué moves the issue forward and declares it to be worthy of high level political attention. Unfortunately, what is to be done is not so clear. Continue reading
Posted in Climate change, Conflict & peace, Resilience
Tagged adelphi, Climate change, climate conflict, COP 21, disaster risk reduction, EU Institute for Security Studies, food security, fragile states, G7, human security, International Alert, transboundary water disputes, UNFCCC, Wilson Center
For the past two and half years, International Alert has been conducting field research in four South Asian countries on vulnerability to the effects of climate change, possibilities for adaptation, obstacles and how to overcome them. What shines out of these studies is the need for policies that integrate responses to climate and conflict challenges into developing a broadly based quality of resilience – in local communities and on the national stage. Continue reading